Jim Allister's election odds are getting shorter
Paddy Power, who usually do their homework before setting a price, have an interesting insight into the NI Euro election.
The shortest odds on Jim Allister’s first preference vote is 60,0000+, at 2/1.
If PP has it right it opens up a number of interesting questions. Where is he getting these votes from? Dissafected DUP voters? Frustrated UUP supporters? Whatever the source 60,000 is enough votes to have a say in the eventual outcome. It won’t get Jim elected and the vast majority will transfer to a fellow unioinst, but what if he just squeezes past Jim Nicholson, and it is the former DUP man who then benefits from the UUP transfers? Are Unionist voters fed up with dynasties, after the controversy dogging the Robinsons lately maybe the prosect of another double / triple jobbing couple is too much to bear.
What if he does enough damage to the main Unionist parties to allow Alban Maginness to squeeze home, a la Alasdair McDonnell in south Belfast in 2005?
Of course Paddy Power could have this one wrong, but interestingly I drove across half of NI yesterday and Jim’s campaign posters and indeed a fully decked out bus, were in evidence.
Maybe this could be an interesting election after all?
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